**Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Russian meteorological services point to overnight lows in Moscow on September 7 likely falling between 7–10°C under northwest winds and variable cloud cover, driving the closely matched market odds across temperature bins.** Northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with 40–100% chance of light rain or showers, limits radiative cooling at night while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus shows highs near 10–13°C and minimal diurnal range due to persistent overcast conditions, though clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 6–8°C. Historical September 7 averages place the typical low at 9.5°C, with extremes below 3°C or above 13°C occurring only in outlier years. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against potential model spread on cloud timing and wind strength, as these variables directly influence whether the minimum settles in the upper or lower end of the forecasted envelope before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
3°C or below 86%
13°C or higher 84%
4°C 50%
5°C 50%
3°C or below
86%
4°C
50%
5°C
50%
6°C
50%
7°C
27%
8°C
35%
9°C
32%
10°C
50%
11°C
2%
12°C
50%
13°C or higher
84%
3°C or below 86%
13°C or higher 84%
4°C 50%
5°C 50%
3°C or below
86%
4°C
50%
5°C
50%
6°C
50%
7°C
27%
8°C
35%
9°C
32%
10°C
50%
11°C
2%
12°C
50%
13°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Russian meteorological services point to overnight lows in Moscow on September 7 likely falling between 7–10°C under northwest winds and variable cloud cover, driving the closely matched market odds across temperature bins.** Northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with 40–100% chance of light rain or showers, limits radiative cooling at night while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus shows highs near 10–13°C and minimal diurnal range due to persistent overcast conditions, though clearer breaks could allow temperatures to dip toward 6–8°C. Historical September 7 averages place the typical low at 9.5°C, with extremes below 3°C or above 13°C occurring only in outlier years. Traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against potential model spread on cloud timing and wind strength, as these variables directly influence whether the minimum settles in the upper or lower end of the forecasted envelope before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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