Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 7, driven by persistent onshore flow, a stable marine layer, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 56.1 °F for the date and recent observations showing similar values (57 °F on September 4). Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 56–57 °F bin because forecast spreads remain narrow, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or slight model timing differences in the sea breeze. No strong offshore wind or heat-wave signals appear in the short-range guidance, keeping warmer or much colder outcomes at lower market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 7?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 7?
56-57°F 60%
66°F or higher 55%
60-61°F 49%
58-59°F 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
47°F or below
47%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
48%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
47%
64-65°F
34%
66°F or higher
55%
56-57°F 60%
66°F or higher 55%
60-61°F 49%
58-59°F 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
47°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
48-49°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
50-51°F
$5 ปริมาณ
19%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
56-57°F
$65 ปริมาณ
47%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
66°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 7, driven by persistent onshore flow, a stable marine layer, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 56.1 °F for the date and recent observations showing similar values (57 °F on September 4). Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 56–57 °F bin because forecast spreads remain narrow, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or slight model timing differences in the sea breeze. No strong offshore wind or heat-wave signals appear in the short-range guidance, keeping warmer or much colder outcomes at lower market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 7, driven by persistent onshore flow, a stable marine layer, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 56.1 °F for the date and recent observations showing similar values (57 °F on September 4). Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 56–57 °F bin because forecast spreads remain narrow, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or slight model timing differences in the sea breeze. No strong offshore wind or heat-wave signals appear in the short-range guidance, keeping warmer or much colder outcomes at lower market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-50s Fahrenheit for San Francisco on September 7, driven by persistent onshore flow, a stable marine layer, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term average low of 56.1 °F for the date and recent observations showing similar values (57 °F on September 4). Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 56–57 °F bin because forecast spreads remain narrow, with only modest uncertainty from possible cloud-cover variations or slight model timing differences in the sea breeze. No strong offshore wind or heat-wave signals appear in the short-range guidance, keeping warmer or much colder outcomes at lower market-implied odds ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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