**An approaching cold front is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 21°C and 22°C for São Paulo’s maximum temperature on September 5.** Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo and global models show this front arriving Saturday, increasing cloud cover and triggering widespread showers that limit daytime heating after several days of clear, warmer conditions near 26–31°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, combined with southerly flow behind the front, favors a peak near 20–22°C rather than the seasonal late-winter average around 23°C. Model consensus remains moderate, with minor spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the marine layer contributing to the balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
23°C 16%
20°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
12%
21°C
25%
22°C
24%
23°C
16%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
5%
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
23°C 16%
20°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$76 ปริมาณ
4%
19°C
$26 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$77 ปริมาณ
12%
21°C
$63 ปริมาณ
25%
22°C
$52 ปริมาณ
24%
23°C
$128 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$66 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$60 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C or higher
$68 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**An approaching cold front is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 21°C and 22°C for São Paulo’s maximum temperature on September 5.** Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo and global models show this front arriving Saturday, increasing cloud cover and triggering widespread showers that limit daytime heating after several days of clear, warmer conditions near 26–31°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, combined with southerly flow behind the front, favors a peak near 20–22°C rather than the seasonal late-winter average around 23°C. Model consensus remains moderate, with minor spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the marine layer contributing to the balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$615วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**An approaching cold front is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 21°C and 22°C for São Paulo’s maximum temperature on September 5.** Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo and global models show this front arriving Saturday, increasing cloud cover and triggering widespread showers that limit daytime heating after several days of clear, warmer conditions near 26–31°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, combined with southerly flow behind the front, favors a peak near 20–22°C rather than the seasonal late-winter average around 23°C. Model consensus remains moderate, with minor spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the marine layer contributing to the balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$615วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**An approaching cold front is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered between 21°C and 22°C for São Paulo’s maximum temperature on September 5.** Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo and global models show this front arriving Saturday, increasing cloud cover and triggering widespread showers that limit daytime heating after several days of clear, warmer conditions near 26–31°C. Reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, combined with southerly flow behind the front, favors a peak near 20–22°C rather than the seasonal late-winter average around 23°C. Model consensus remains moderate, with minor spread on exact rainfall timing and thickness of the marine layer contributing to the balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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