Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate Paris highs on September 6 centered near 28–30 °C under building high pressure and light easterly flow that limits mixing while allowing modest warm advection. Afternoon cloud increases, particularly in ensemble members showing thicker mid-level cover, are the main variable capping peaks below 31 °C, whereas clearer scenarios support brief spikes to 30 °C. These conditions sit several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 6 climatological average of roughly 23 °C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 12 UTC and 18 UTC runs alongside Météo-France guidance for final adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and insolation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 6?
29°C 32%
30°C 29%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
$14,092 ปริมาณ
$14,092 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
29%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 29%
28°C 14%
31°C 10%
$14,092 ปริมาณ
$14,092 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
29%
31°C
10%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and regional models indicate Paris highs on September 6 centered near 28–30 °C under building high pressure and light easterly flow that limits mixing while allowing modest warm advection. Afternoon cloud increases, particularly in ensemble members showing thicker mid-level cover, are the main variable capping peaks below 31 °C, whereas clearer scenarios support brief spikes to 30 °C. These conditions sit several degrees above the 1991–2020 September 6 climatological average of roughly 23 °C. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 12 UTC and 18 UTC runs alongside Météo-France guidance for final adjustments in boundary-layer moisture and insolation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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