Current National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 2 point to daytime highs near 80–82°F under a lingering heat advisory, driven by weak onshore flow, a shallow marine layer, and gradual warming from seasonal high pressure. This aligns with the market’s strongest implied probability on 80–81°F (50.5%), followed by 78–79°F (31%), as models show limited afternoon heating before evening cooling to the mid-60s. Recent updates from NWS and NOAA guidance have held steady without major upward revisions, reflecting typical early-August climatology where coastal influence caps extremes below 85°F in most ensemble members. Traders appear to weight the official forecast consensus and historical verification rates for the downtown station, leaving only modest probability (under 15% combined) for 82°F or higher if the marine layer thins more than expected.