Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 3?
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 20%
35°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
47%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 20%
35°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
$88 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$569 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$859 ปริมาณ
20%
33°C
$466 ปริมาณ
47%
34°C
$432 ปริมาณ
24%
35°C
$317 ปริมาณ
7%
36°C
$216 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$137 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$151 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,300วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,300วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF point to a stable high-pressure system over the Iberian Peninsula driving Madrid’s August 3 high into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with ensemble runs clustering near 33°C as the most probable peak. This reflects typical early-August climatology, moderated by light northerly flows that limit Saharan advection and keep urban heat-island amplification in check. Recent model updates show little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C (47.5%) and 34°C (23.5%) while trimming odds for 35°C-plus outcomes. Traders are also watching the next 48-hour model cycles for any late intensification signals before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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