Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan of 34–36 °C on August 4 with limited cloud cover and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities for 34 °C or below (43 %) and 35 °C (31 %) aligns with this guidance and historical early-August climatology, while lower odds for 37 °C or higher account for typical ensemble spread and potential for slight model cooling adjustments. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables influencing further movement in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 4?
34°C or below 44%
35°C 31%
36°C 25%
37°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
44%
35°C
31%
36°C
25%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
34°C or below 44%
35°C 31%
36°C 25%
37°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
34°C or below
$142 ปริมาณ
44%
35°C
$32 ปริมาณ
31%
36°C
$55 ปริมาณ
25%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
38°C
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
39°C
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
44°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan of 34–36 °C on August 4 with limited cloud cover and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities for 34 °C or below (43 %) and 35 °C (31 %) aligns with this guidance and historical early-August climatology, while lower odds for 37 °C or higher account for typical ensemble spread and potential for slight model cooling adjustments. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables influencing further movement in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan of 34–36 °C on August 4 with limited cloud cover and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities for 34 °C or below (43 %) and 35 °C (31 %) aligns with this guidance and historical early-August climatology, while lower odds for 37 °C or higher account for typical ensemble spread and potential for slight model cooling adjustments. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables influencing further movement in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF models show high pressure dominating the Po Valley, supporting maximum temperatures in Milan of 34–36 °C on August 4 with limited cloud cover and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities for 34 °C or below (43 %) and 35 °C (31 %) aligns with this guidance and historical early-August climatology, while lower odds for 37 °C or higher account for typical ensemble spread and potential for slight model cooling adjustments. Updated runs over the next 48 hours and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables influencing further movement in these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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