Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate San Francisco highs near 72–75°F for August 8 amid a broader Bay Area warming trend driven by offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence, with sunny conditions expected to limit fog cooling. Typical August climatology centers on 69–70°F highs at the official KSFO station, but current model runs and regional heat signals support the market’s tight clustering around 70–75°F bins. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, overnight low recovery, and any late-day clearing that could push the daily maximum into the mid-70s versus holding near 70–72°F. Traders are weighting official observations and short-range model consensus heavily, as resolution hinges on verified peak temperature at the airport station with little time remaining before the close of trading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 8?
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 9%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 9%
67°F or below
4%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate San Francisco highs near 72–75°F for August 8 amid a broader Bay Area warming trend driven by offshore flow and reduced marine-layer influence, with sunny conditions expected to limit fog cooling. Typical August climatology centers on 69–70°F highs at the official KSFO station, but current model runs and regional heat signals support the market’s tight clustering around 70–75°F bins. Key differentiators among leading outcomes include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, overnight low recovery, and any late-day clearing that could push the daily maximum into the mid-70s versus holding near 70–72°F. Traders are weighting official observations and short-range model consensus heavily, as resolution hinges on verified peak temperature at the airport station with little time remaining before the close of trading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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