Current forecasts from agencies like INMET indicate São Paulo will reach a daily maximum near 28°C on August 16 under scattered cloud cover and light winds, aligning with the market's leading 28°C and 27°C outcomes at combined implied odds above 55%. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, reduced solar insolation and dry-season subsidence typically cap highs around 23–25°C, yet recent model runs show slightly elevated readings from a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing cold fronts and enhancing urban heat retention. Differentiating the tight 27–29°C range hinges on precise factors like boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and station-specific siting, with any late-day clearing or urban effects potentially pushing readings toward the upper end before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 16?
28°C 32%
27°C 25%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
25%
28°C
32%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
27°C 25%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
25%
28°C
32%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like INMET indicate São Paulo will reach a daily maximum near 28°C on August 16 under scattered cloud cover and light winds, aligning with the market's leading 28°C and 27°C outcomes at combined implied odds above 55%. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, reduced solar insolation and dry-season subsidence typically cap highs around 23–25°C, yet recent model runs show slightly elevated readings from a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing cold fronts and enhancing urban heat retention. Differentiating the tight 27–29°C range hinges on precise factors like boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and station-specific siting, with any late-day clearing or urban effects potentially pushing readings toward the upper end before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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