Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 4?
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
28%
36°C
24%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
36°C 24%
33°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 4, 2026
28°C or below
$184 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$107 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$153 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$156 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$175 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$148 ปริมาณ
18%
34°C
$116 ปริมาณ
29%
35°C
$118 ปริมาณ
28%
36°C
$506 ปริมาณ
24%
37°C
$386 ปริมาณ
4%
38°C or higher
$76 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,125วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,125วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño event with Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C, underpin trader focus on the 34–36°C range for the Incheon measurement on August 4. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a daytime maximum of 34°C under mostly clear skies with low precipitation chances, consistent with the market’s narrow spread where 34°C holds a slim edge at 29% implied probability. High humidity and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor can elevate observed values above model guidance, while any late-day sea breeze or isolated convection could cap the peak nearer 33°C. Updated KMA and ensemble model runs through August 3 will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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