Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on July 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 16?
29°C 36%
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
31°C or higher 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
24%
29°C
36%
30°C
28%
31°C or higher
14%
29°C 36%
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
31°C or higher 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
21°C or below
$486 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$536 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$491 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$755 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$412 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$479 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$335 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$904 ปริมาณ
36%
30°C
$951 ปริมาณ
28%
31°C or higher
$914 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,383วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,383วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย