Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 16?
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
$820 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$212 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$38 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$37 ปริมาณ
13%
23°C
$3,342 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$131 ปริมาณ
39%
25°C
$56 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$46 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$442 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,744วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,744วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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