Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
$13,143 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,143 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
37%
27°C
39%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 37%
25°C 15%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
$13,143 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,143 ปริมาณ
Jul 16, 2026
22°C or below
$1,754 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$234 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$348 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$185 ปริมาณ
15%
26°C
$3,158 ปริมาณ
37%
27°C
$4,304 ปริมาณ
39%
28°C
$321 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$389 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$224 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$376 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,851 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,143วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,143วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched odds around 25–28°C for Hong Kong’s daily minimum on July 16 because mid-July climatology features high humidity and typical overnight lows near 26–27°C, with limited variation expected absent major weather shifts. Recent model runs show scattered showers and variable cloud cover that could modestly suppress nighttime temperatures toward 25°C or allow clearer skies to hold readings near 27–28°C. Steering flow from the subtropical ridge and any distant tropical activity remain key variables that could alter radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture. With resolution just two days away, the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities reflects ongoing uncertainty in local forecast guidance and the modest historical day-to-day fluctuation in Hong Kong summer minima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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