Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid will see mostly sunny conditions and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge on July 14, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 35–37°C. This range aligns with typical mid-July climatology for the city’s continental climate, where clear skies and southerly flow can add 1–2°C through enhanced solar heating and minimal mixing. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture, which traders weigh when pricing the 36°C and 37°C contracts at roughly 37% and 32% implied probability. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on July 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 14?
37°C 68%
38°C 25%
36°C 9%
35°C 1.3%
ใหม่
$17,074 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,074 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
68%
38°C
25%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 68%
38°C 25%
36°C 9%
35°C 1.3%
ใหม่
$17,074 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,074 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
33°C or below
$2,302 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$847 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$1,753 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$3,223 ปริมาณ
9%
37°C
$3,477 ปริมาณ
68%
38°C
$2,282 ปริมาณ
25%
39°C
$1,892 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C
$377 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C
$413 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C
$287 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C or higher
$221 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid will see mostly sunny conditions and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge on July 14, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 35–37°C. This range aligns with typical mid-July climatology for the city’s continental climate, where clear skies and southerly flow can add 1–2°C through enhanced solar heating and minimal mixing. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture, which traders weigh when pricing the 36°C and 37°C contracts at roughly 37% and 32% implied probability. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,074วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid will see mostly sunny conditions and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge on July 14, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 35–37°C. This range aligns with typical mid-July climatology for the city’s continental climate, where clear skies and southerly flow can add 1–2°C through enhanced solar heating and minimal mixing. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture, which traders weigh when pricing the 36°C and 37°C contracts at roughly 37% and 32% implied probability. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,074วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid will see mostly sunny conditions and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge on July 14, supporting maximum temperatures clustered around 35–37°C. This range aligns with typical mid-July climatology for the city’s continental climate, where clear skies and southerly flow can add 1–2°C through enhanced solar heating and minimal mixing. Minor model spread arises from subtle variations in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture, which traders weigh when pricing the 36°C and 37°C contracts at roughly 37% and 32% implied probability. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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