Short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like GFS/ECMWF project daytime maxima of 32–35°C for Taipei on July 14 amid typical July monsoon moisture, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks through cloud cover or timing of convection. Historical July averages center near 33–34°C with urban heat-island effects occasionally pushing readings 1–2°C higher, while recent days have trended toward the upper end of that range. Trader sentiment clusters on 34–36°C because these outcomes align with ensemble consensus, though model spread on exact convective timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on July 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 14?
35°C 37%
36°C 32.6%
34°C 15%
37°C 7.5%
ใหม่
$29,191 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$29,191 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
15%
35°C
37%
36°C
33%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
36°C 32.6%
34°C 15%
37°C 7.5%
ใหม่
$29,191 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$29,191 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
29°C or below
$2,083 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,952 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$2,941 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$2,113 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,282 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$3,107 ปริมาณ
15%
35°C
$2,258 ปริมาณ
37%
36°C
$3,005 ปริมาณ
33%
37°C
$3,616 ปริมาณ
7%
38°C
$1,799 ปริมาณ
3%
39°C or higher
$4,309 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like GFS/ECMWF project daytime maxima of 32–35°C for Taipei on July 14 amid typical July monsoon moisture, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks through cloud cover or timing of convection. Historical July averages center near 33–34°C with urban heat-island effects occasionally pushing readings 1–2°C higher, while recent days have trended toward the upper end of that range. Trader sentiment clusters on 34–36°C because these outcomes align with ensemble consensus, though model spread on exact convective timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,191วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like GFS/ECMWF project daytime maxima of 32–35°C for Taipei on July 14 amid typical July monsoon moisture, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks through cloud cover or timing of convection. Historical July averages center near 33–34°C with urban heat-island effects occasionally pushing readings 1–2°C higher, while recent days have trended toward the upper end of that range. Trader sentiment clusters on 34–36°C because these outcomes align with ensemble consensus, though model spread on exact convective timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,191วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models like GFS/ECMWF project daytime maxima of 32–35°C for Taipei on July 14 amid typical July monsoon moisture, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks through cloud cover or timing of convection. Historical July averages center near 33–34°C with urban heat-island effects occasionally pushing readings 1–2°C higher, while recent days have trended toward the upper end of that range. Trader sentiment clusters on 34–36°C because these outcomes align with ensemble consensus, though model spread on exact convective timing and any localized sea-breeze moderation keeps probabilities closely matched rather than concentrated. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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