Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 15?
26°C 35%
27°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C
18%
26°C
35%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
22°C or below
$1,088 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$509 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$166 ปริมาณ
6%
25°C
$130 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$256 ปริมาณ
35%
27°C
$164 ปริมาณ
32%
28°C
$165 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$354 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$238 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,370 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,465วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,465วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicate overnight lows of 25–27°C for July 15 amid typical July humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that suppress radiational cooling overnight. Persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention further anchor minima near the 26°C mark, while clearer intervals could allow brief drops toward 25°C. Seasonal outlooks confirm normal-to-above-normal July temperatures under ongoing warming trends, with historical July minima rarely dipping below 24°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25–27°C band because model consensus shows narrow uncertainty ranges, with new daily forecast updates expected to refine steering patterns and precipitation timing before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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