Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 15?
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
19°C 15%
16°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
29%
18°C
39%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
19°C 15%
16°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 15, 2026
12°C or below
$526 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$353 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$393 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$547 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$306 ปริมาณ
29%
18°C
$307 ปริมาณ
39%
19°C
$1,089 ปริมาณ
15%
20°C
$318 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$39 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$130 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,258วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,258วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town point to a typical mid-July high near the 16–18°C range, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these outcomes and the region's Mediterranean winter climate moderated by the cold Benguela Current. Historical July averages near 17°C, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 21°C, provide the baseline, while recent cool conditions including morning fog and weak cold fronts have kept highs near or below normal. Key differentiating factors include Atlantic high-pressure positioning that can suppress or enhance warming, variable cloud cover affecting solar heating, and light winds that limit mixing; stronger offshore flow or clearer skies could push toward 18–19°C, whereas persistent marine influence favors 16°C or lower. Updated ECMWF and SAWS model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official maximum temperature observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย