July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
31°C 7.7%
28°C 7.0%
ใหม่
$90,655 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$90,655 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
44%
30°C
39%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 39%
31°C 7.7%
28°C 7.0%
ใหม่
$90,655 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$90,655 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
24°C or below
$1,879 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$976 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,683 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$15,459 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$34,301 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$4,932 ปริมาณ
44%
30°C
$3,990 ปริมาณ
39%
31°C
$3,251 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$8,950 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$7,816 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$6,429 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,655วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,655วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...July's typical subtropical monsoon regime keeps Hong Kong highs near 29–32 °C, with the market’s near-tie between 29 °C and 30 °C reflecting model consensus for July 14 that includes afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima while the urban heat-island effect and high humidity sustain warmth. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures supports the slight edge for 30 °C, yet short-range guidance showing persistent overcast skies and rain favors 29 °C or lower. Any last-minute clearing or delayed shower timing could shift the daily maximum across the narrow threshold, which is why the two leading outcomes remain so evenly matched.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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