Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 14?
16°C 43%
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 9.9%
ใหม่
$13,665 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,665 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
23%
16°C
43%
17°C
20%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 43%
15°C 23%
17°C 20%
14°C 9.9%
ใหม่
$13,665 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,665 ปริมาณ
Jul 14, 2026
11°C or below
$5,696 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$1,712 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$785 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$1,078 ปริมาณ
10%
15°C
$651 ปริมาณ
23%
16°C
$655 ปริมาณ
43%
17°C
$606 ปริมาณ
20%
18°C
$626 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$1,210 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$367 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C or higher
$280 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,665วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,665วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on July 14, consistent with the market’s near-even weighting between those two outcomes and the lower probability assigned to 15°C or 18°C. July climatology shows an average high of roughly 15°C, but short-term model runs reflect modest warm advection and reduced cloud cover that support readings 1–2°C above the seasonal baseline. Ensemble spread remains modest at this 24–48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any passing trough and the accuracy of local observations from official Argentine meteorological stations. Updated model guidance expected within the next 12 hours will likely narrow the range further before markets close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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