Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?
31°C 31%
30°C 30%
32°C 18%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
31%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 30%
32°C 18%
29°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$441 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$346 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$273 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$412 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$382 ปริมาณ
14%
30°C
$182 ปริมาณ
30%
31°C
$382 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$231 ปริมาณ
18%
33°C
$129 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$385 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$108 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,170วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,170วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory guidance for July 16 forecasts a daily range of 27–31 °C under typical subtropical monsoon flow, with medium-high rain chances and humidity of 75–95 %. This range anchors trader sentiment near 30–31 °C, as the official outlook implies limited afternoon heating once convective showers develop. Recent July mean maximum temperatures of 32.4 °C at the Observatory provide seasonal context for above-average warmth, yet persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm timing introduce enough variability to keep 29 °C and 32 °C viable. Key resolution factors include peak solar insolation before any rain, steering winds, and the precise timing of convective initiation—variables that short-range models continue to refine ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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