Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on July 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 16?
20°C 30%
19°C 28%
18°C 14%
21°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
30%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 30%
19°C 28%
18°C 14%
21°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
16°C or below
$310 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$245 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$217 ปริมาณ
14%
19°C
$301 ปริมาณ
28%
20°C
$187 ปริมาณ
30%
21°C
$717 ปริมาณ
13%
22°C
$206 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$190 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$661 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$578 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$201 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,813วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,813วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on July 16, 2026, cluster around 20–23 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 20 °C and 21 °C as leading outcomes. Official guidance from the Met Office indicates a daytime maximum near 23 °C under variable conditions, while BBC models point to 21 °C with thundery showers and a northerly breeze that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble differences in cloud cover, timing of any showers, and boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread among 19–22 °C possibilities. Historical July maxima average near 24 °C, so current cooler steering patterns and modest instability keep higher thresholds (24 °C+) at low implied probability ahead of final model runs and observational updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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