Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 16?
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
16%
30°C
24%
31°C
41%
32°C
14%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 24%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
25°C or below
$1,907 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$331 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$191 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$286 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$220 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$803 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$372 ปริมาณ
41%
32°C
$583 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$295 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$500 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$697 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,186วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,186วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm activity over Shenzhen through July 16, keeping trader consensus clustered around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum. Subtropical monsoon influences, including high humidity and potential for convective cooling or brief clearing that boosts insolation, create narrow uncertainty ranges between these outcomes. Historical July averages near 32°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea introduce model spread that could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on rainfall timing and urban heat retention.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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