Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on July 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 1?
32°C 45%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
45%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
25°C or below
$19 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$334 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$419 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$14 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$14 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$76 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$95 ปริมาณ
33%
32°C
$258 ปริมาณ
45%
33°C
$41 ปริมาณ
12%
34°C
$14 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$14 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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