Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on July 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 1?
35°C 26%
36°C 22%
34°C 20%
33°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
11%
34°C
20%
35°C
26%
36°C
22%
37°C
9%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 26%
36°C 22%
34°C 20%
33°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
29°C or below
$2,182 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$7 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C
$18 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C
$50 ปริมาณ
20%
35°C
$54 ปริมาณ
26%
36°C
$166 ปริมาณ
22%
37°C
$117 ปริมาณ
9%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
39°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,583วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,583วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models for Taipei on July 1 project daytime highs clustered around 33–35°C, aligning with the market’s near-even odds across those bins. Subtropical high pressure and the East Asian summer monsoon maintain warm, humid conditions, while afternoon sea breezes and potential thundershowers—common in early July—can cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts readings. Forecast spread stems mainly from uncertainty in convective timing and any weak frontal passage; a few hours’ difference in rainfall onset can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32–34°C and recent above-normal warmth provide context, but short-range model runs remain the dominant driver of trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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