Current forecasts from regional models and agencies indicate Tel Aviv highs near 32–34°C on August 3 amid typical late-summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures, positioning 34°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 53.5%. Trader consensus assigns lower weight to 33°C or 35°C given ensemble agreement on minimal deviation from climatological norms of 31–32°C, while probabilities below 32°C or above 36°C remain minimal due to limited variability in short-range guidance. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could shift odds if steering flows or subsidence strengthen.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 3?
34°C 54%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
31°C or below 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
30%
34°C
54%
35°C
17%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 30%
35°C 17%
31°C or below 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$115 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$819 ปริมาณ
30%
34°C
$202 ปริมาณ
54%
35°C
$419 ปริมาณ
17%
36°C
$105 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$34 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$101 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C
$124 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$383 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and agencies indicate Tel Aviv highs near 32–34°C on August 3 amid typical late-summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures, positioning 34°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 53.5%. Trader consensus assigns lower weight to 33°C or 35°C given ensemble agreement on minimal deviation from climatological norms of 31–32°C, while probabilities below 32°C or above 36°C remain minimal due to limited variability in short-range guidance. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could shift odds if steering flows or subsidence strengthen.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,516วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and agencies indicate Tel Aviv highs near 32–34°C on August 3 amid typical late-summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures, positioning 34°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 53.5%. Trader consensus assigns lower weight to 33°C or 35°C given ensemble agreement on minimal deviation from climatological norms of 31–32°C, while probabilities below 32°C or above 36°C remain minimal due to limited variability in short-range guidance. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could shift odds if steering flows or subsidence strengthen.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,516วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and agencies indicate Tel Aviv highs near 32–34°C on August 3 amid typical late-summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures, positioning 34°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 53.5%. Trader consensus assigns lower weight to 33°C or 35°C given ensemble agreement on minimal deviation from climatological norms of 31–32°C, while probabilities below 32°C or above 36°C remain minimal due to limited variability in short-range guidance. Updated runs expected within 48 hours could shift odds if steering flows or subsidence strengthen.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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