Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?
27°C 37%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 31%
28°C 15%
25°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
$481 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$936 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$1,005 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$642 ปริมาณ
31%
27°C
$3,662 ปริมาณ
37%
28°C
$628 ปริมาณ
15%
29°C
$451 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$166 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$308 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,647วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,647วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for July 7 point to persistent cloud cover and residual scattered showers from the waning tsuyu season, which reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling to cap daytime maxima near 24–27°C—well below July climatological normals of ~29°C. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 26–28°C outcomes in the market, as modest shifts in cloud thickness, timing of any breaks, or boundary-layer moisture could push readings one degree either way. Longer-range guidance shows limited model spread so far, with traders weighting official short-term updates more heavily than seasonal averages given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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