Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7?
27°C 52%
26°C 24%
28°C 13%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
$10,630 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,630 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
52%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
26°C 24%
28°C 13%
25°C 11%
ใหม่
$10,630 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,630 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
$234 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$134 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$251 ปริมาณ
11%
26°C
$214 ปริมาณ
24%
27°C
$8,296 ปริมาณ
52%
28°C
$119 ปริมาณ
13%
29°C
$87 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$234 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$530 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,630วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,630วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 7 centers on 26–28°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical summer humidity and light winds. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima clustering around 27°C, while recent model runs indicate possible weak disturbances or increased cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C off the low. Higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given the absence of strong synoptic forcing or clear, calm nights that would allow greater cooling. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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