Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on July 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 7?
27°C 46%
26°C 37%
28°C 15%
25°C 3.4%
ใหม่
$12,630 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,630 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
37%
27°C
46%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 46%
26°C 37%
28°C 15%
25°C 3.4%
ใหม่
$12,630 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,630 ปริมาณ
Jul 7, 2026
22°C or below
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$154 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$365 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$234 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$5,575 ปริมาณ
37%
27°C
$4,160 ปริมาณ
46%
28°C
$397 ปริมาณ
15%
29°C
$239 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$199 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$408 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$515 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,630วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,630วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Istanbul highlight tight clustering around 26–28°C maxima on July 7 due to competing influences from Aegean and Black Sea breezes that moderate daytime heating while seasonal July averages hover near 28°C. Model runs show modest day-to-day variability driven by potential increases in cloud cover, northerly flow, or localized sea-breeze effects that cap highs slightly below climatological norms, supporting the market’s near-even split between the leading 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and updated model consensus expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution probabilities as the event window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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