**Jeddah’s coastal Red Sea location and midsummer climatology position daily highs near or above 38°C as the most likely outcomes for July 5.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and typically clear skies support peak temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s °C, consistent with July averages of 37–39°C (locally reaching 41–43°C in hotter inland spells). Sea breezes and higher humidity often moderate extremes compared with interior sites, creating the spread traders reflect in the market. Recent model runs and observed highs in the mid-30s to low-40s range over the past few days have kept the 39°C+ outcome at 45% implied probability, with 38°C as the next most favored single bin. Short-range forecast updates, wind shifts, or unexpected cloud cover remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 5?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 5?
39°C or higher 83%
38°C 10%
37°C 6%
36°C 4.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
6%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
83%
39°C or higher 83%
38°C 10%
37°C 6%
36°C 4.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
29°C or below
$109 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$101 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$97 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$98 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$371 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$191 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$123 ปริมาณ
4%
37°C
$115 ปริมาณ
6%
38°C
$246 ปริมาณ
10%
39°C or higher
$626 ปริมาณ
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Jeddah’s coastal Red Sea location and midsummer climatology position daily highs near or above 38°C as the most likely outcomes for July 5.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and typically clear skies support peak temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s °C, consistent with July averages of 37–39°C (locally reaching 41–43°C in hotter inland spells).
Sea breezes and higher humidity often moderate extremes compared with interior sites, creating the spread traders reflect in the market. Recent model runs and observed highs in the mid-30s to low-40s range over the past few days have kept the 39°C+ outcome at 45% implied probability, with 38°C as the next most favored single bin.
Short-range forecast updates, wind shifts, or unexpected cloud cover remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,179วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Jeddah’s coastal Red Sea location and midsummer climatology position daily highs near or above 38°C as the most likely outcomes for July 5.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and typically clear skies support peak temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s °C, consistent with July averages of 37–39°C (locally reaching 41–43°C in hotter inland spells).
Sea breezes and higher humidity often moderate extremes compared with interior sites, creating the spread traders reflect in the market. Recent model runs and observed highs in the mid-30s to low-40s range over the past few days have kept the 39°C+ outcome at 45% implied probability, with 38°C as the next most favored single bin.
Short-range forecast updates, wind shifts, or unexpected cloud cover remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,179วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Jeddah’s coastal Red Sea location and midsummer climatology position daily highs near or above 38°C as the most likely outcomes for July 5.** Persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and typically clear skies support peak temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s °C, consistent with July averages of 37–39°C (locally reaching 41–43°C in hotter inland spells). Sea breezes and higher humidity often moderate extremes compared with interior sites, creating the spread traders reflect in the market. Recent model runs and observed highs in the mid-30s to low-40s range over the past few days have kept the 39°C+ outcome at 45% implied probability, with 38°C as the next most favored single bin. Short-range forecast updates, wind shifts, or unexpected cloud cover remain the key variables that could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย