Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on July 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 5?
35°C 42%
34°C 27%
36°C 20%
37°C 7.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
27%
35°C
42%
36°C
20%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
34°C 27%
36°C 20%
37°C 7.2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
28°C or below
$192 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$184 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$277 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$268 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$200 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$223 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$481 ปริมาณ
27%
35°C
$2,493 ปริมาณ
42%
36°C
$436 ปริมาณ
20%
37°C
$311 ปริมาณ
7%
38°C or higher
$166 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,230วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,230วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon onset across Pakistan, with official forecasts indicating increased moisture, cloud cover, and possible light rain or drizzle in Karachi by July 3–5, forms the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35 °C. Typical early-July climatology shows highs averaging 32–33 °C, but reduced solar heating from convective activity and higher humidity can suppress peaks below seasonal norms while limiting extreme heat. Model consensus from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department highlights steering patterns and moisture influx as key variables, with any delayed or weaker monsoon pulse potentially allowing clearer skies and a 36 °C or higher outcome. Traders weigh these uncertainties ahead of final observational data on July 5.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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