Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s July 5 maximum clusters around 29–31 °C because ensemble forecasts from subtropical monsoon conditions point to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit afternoon insolation and cap peaks near the early-July climatological mean of roughly 32 °C. Recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture and moderate easterly flow, which favor convective activity over clear-sky heating and reduce the odds of 33 °C or higher readings. Lower outcomes gain support from any increase in rainfall duration or thicker stratiform clouds, while upside surprises remain possible if breaks in the cloud deck allow stronger solar heating. The dispersed probability distribution reflects the inherent uncertainty in short-range convective forecasts and the sensitivity of daily maxima to small timing shifts in precipitation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 5?
29°C 28%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
31°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
28%
30°C
24%
31°C
21%
32°C
22%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
31°C 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
24°C or below
$714 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$568 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$184 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$833 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$760 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$971 ปริมาณ
28%
30°C
$1,964 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$177 ปริมาณ
21%
32°C
$383 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$343 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C or higher
$220 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s July 5 maximum clusters around 29–31 °C because ensemble forecasts from subtropical monsoon conditions point to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit afternoon insolation and cap peaks near the early-July climatological mean of roughly 32 °C. Recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture and moderate easterly flow, which favor convective activity over clear-sky heating and reduce the odds of 33 °C or higher readings. Lower outcomes gain support from any increase in rainfall duration or thicker stratiform clouds, while upside surprises remain possible if breaks in the cloud deck allow stronger solar heating. The dispersed probability distribution reflects the inherent uncertainty in short-range convective forecasts and the sensitivity of daily maxima to small timing shifts in precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,116วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s July 5 maximum clusters around 29–31 °C because ensemble forecasts from subtropical monsoon conditions point to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit afternoon insolation and cap peaks near the early-July climatological mean of roughly 32 °C. Recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture and moderate easterly flow, which favor convective activity over clear-sky heating and reduce the odds of 33 °C or higher readings. Lower outcomes gain support from any increase in rainfall duration or thicker stratiform clouds, while upside surprises remain possible if breaks in the cloud deck allow stronger solar heating. The dispersed probability distribution reflects the inherent uncertainty in short-range convective forecasts and the sensitivity of daily maxima to small timing shifts in precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,116วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s July 5 maximum clusters around 29–31 °C because ensemble forecasts from subtropical monsoon conditions point to widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit afternoon insolation and cap peaks near the early-July climatological mean of roughly 32 °C. Recent model runs emphasize persistent moisture and moderate easterly flow, which favor convective activity over clear-sky heating and reduce the odds of 33 °C or higher readings. Lower outcomes gain support from any increase in rainfall duration or thicker stratiform clouds, while upside surprises remain possible if breaks in the cloud deck allow stronger solar heating. The dispersed probability distribution reflects the inherent uncertainty in short-range convective forecasts and the sensitivity of daily maxima to small timing shifts in precipitation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย