**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 31–34°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF place Kuala Lumpur’s July 5 daily maximum in that narrow band under typical southwest monsoon conditions.** Afternoon convective thundershowers—driven by daytime heating, high humidity, and orographic lift from surrounding hills—frequently cap peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and triggering evaporative cooling, making 32–33°C the modal outcomes. An emerging El Niño episode is tilting the broader seasonal background toward slightly reduced rainfall and marginally elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical July averages near 32°C), yet no strong anomalous warming signal has appeared in late-June observations. The close spread among the top four outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of these showers versus clearer intervals that could allow a brief push to 34°C. Outcomes outside 30–35°C carry low implied probability because they would require either persistent heavy cloud or an unusually strong dry slot, both uncommon in the current pattern two days out.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 5?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 5?
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
31°C 10%
34°C 7.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
38%
33°C
36%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
31°C 10%
34°C 7.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
26°C or below
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$33 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$263 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$126 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$33 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$426 ปริมาณ
10%
32°C
$298 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$141 ปริมาณ
36%
34°C
$258 ปริมาณ
7%
35°C
$457 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$53 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 31–34°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF place Kuala Lumpur’s July 5 daily maximum in that narrow band under typical southwest monsoon conditions.**
Afternoon convective thundershowers—driven by daytime heating, high humidity, and orographic lift from surrounding hills—frequently cap peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and triggering evaporative cooling, making 32–33°C the modal outcomes. An emerging El Niño episode is tilting the broader seasonal background toward slightly reduced rainfall and marginally elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical July averages near 32°C), yet no strong anomalous warming signal has appeared in late-June observations.
The close spread among the top four outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of these showers versus clearer intervals that could allow a brief push to 34°C. Outcomes outside 30–35°C carry low implied probability because they would require either persistent heavy cloud or an unusually strong dry slot, both uncommon in the current pattern two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,135วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 31–34°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF place Kuala Lumpur’s July 5 daily maximum in that narrow band under typical southwest monsoon conditions.**
Afternoon convective thundershowers—driven by daytime heating, high humidity, and orographic lift from surrounding hills—frequently cap peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and triggering evaporative cooling, making 32–33°C the modal outcomes. An emerging El Niño episode is tilting the broader seasonal background toward slightly reduced rainfall and marginally elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical July averages near 32°C), yet no strong anomalous warming signal has appeared in late-June observations.
The close spread among the top four outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of these showers versus clearer intervals that could allow a brief push to 34°C. Outcomes outside 30–35°C carry low implied probability because they would require either persistent heavy cloud or an unusually strong dry slot, both uncommon in the current pattern two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,135วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 31–34°C because short-range ensemble forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF place Kuala Lumpur’s July 5 daily maximum in that narrow band under typical southwest monsoon conditions.** Afternoon convective thundershowers—driven by daytime heating, high humidity, and orographic lift from surrounding hills—frequently cap peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and triggering evaporative cooling, making 32–33°C the modal outcomes. An emerging El Niño episode is tilting the broader seasonal background toward slightly reduced rainfall and marginally elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical July averages near 32°C), yet no strong anomalous warming signal has appeared in late-June observations. The close spread among the top four outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of these showers versus clearer intervals that could allow a brief push to 34°C. Outcomes outside 30–35°C carry low implied probability because they would require either persistent heavy cloud or an unusually strong dry slot, both uncommon in the current pattern two days out.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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