**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.** Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices. Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on July 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 3?
35°C 41%
34°C 38%
33°C 7%
36°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 3, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
7%
34°C
38%
35°C
41%
36°C
7%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 41%
34°C 38%
33°C 7%
36°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 3, 2026
29°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$11 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$47 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$12 ปริมาณ
38%
35°C
$369 ปริมาณ
41%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
38°C
$13 ปริมาณ
2%
39°C or higher
$260 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.**
Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices.
Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$741วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.**
Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices.
Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$741วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 3 highest temperature centers on 34°C (37.5% implied probability) and 35°C (25.0%), reflecting expectations of typical early-July peak conditions amid the transition to monsoon influences.** Karachi's coastal setting on the Arabian Sea provides natural moderation through sea breezes and high humidity, keeping daily highs from extreme inland levels even during the hot season. Historical July averages hover near 33°C, with model guidance and agency outlooks (including PMD) pointing to 31–34°C ranges for early July 2026 as monsoon rains onset in the first week. This timing often introduces cloud cover, scattered showers, and increased moisture that can cap afternoon maxima while sustaining heat indices. Recent June data showed above-normal temperatures (highs frequently 34–36°C+), establishing a warm baseline that traders appear to extrapolate slightly upward for July 3 before fuller monsoon suppression takes hold. The distribution—with over 60% probability mass between 33–35°C and minimal weight on extremes—captures uncertainty in exact steering patterns, local convection, and the precise timing of rain-cooled air masses. New forecast updates from NOAA, PMD, or ECMWF model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย