Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 3?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 3?
21°C 41%
22°C 34%
20°C 16%
23°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 3, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
41%
22°C
33%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 41%
22°C 34%
20°C 16%
23°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 3, 2026
16°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$44 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C
$444 ปริมาณ
41%
22°C
$13 ปริมาณ
33%
23°C
$121 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C or higher
$87 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$766วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$766วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible on July 3, supporting overnight lows near the seasonal normal of 21–23°C at observation sites like Haneda. These patterns arise from typical early-July atmospheric stability, elevated humidity, and limited clear-sky radiative cooling, which constrain minimum temperatures more than daytime highs. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with slight variations in cloud cover or shower timing capable of shifting the recorded low by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clustering around 20–22°C reflects this uncertainty in short-range guidance, consistent with historical July minima averaging near 22°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will refine probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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