Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 1?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 1?
30°C or below 40%
31°C 16%
32°C 14%
33°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
30°C or below
40%
31°C
16%
32°C
14%
33°C
12%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
30°C or below 40%
31°C 16%
32°C 14%
33°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
30°C or below
$18 ปริมาณ
40%
31°C
$236 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$10 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$434 ปริมาณ
12%
34°C
$378 ปริมาณ
10%
35°C
$1,154 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$67 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$1,049 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C or higher
$120 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,556วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,556วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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