Strong southerly winds advecting polar maritime air across New Zealand have kept Wellington's daytime maximum locked near 10°C on August 16, well below the seasonal average of about 12°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers have further suppressed solar heating, aligning real-time observations and MetService-NIWA model consensus with this precise threshold. The market's 100% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this stable forecast signal backed by official agency guidance. A late shift to northerly flow or unexpected clearing that permits brief insolation could nudge the peak marginally higher, though current atmospheric conditions and model runs show limited potential for such deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,291 ปริมาณ
$68,291 ปริมาณ
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,291 ปริมาณ
$68,291 ปริมาณ
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
$763 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$907 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$1,049 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$3,612 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$5,808 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$27,145 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$14,391 ปริมาณ
Yes
11°C
$9,218 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$3,812 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$1,300 ปริมาณ
No
14°C or higher
$287 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds advecting polar maritime air across New Zealand have kept Wellington's daytime maximum locked near 10°C on August 16, well below the seasonal average of about 12°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers have further suppressed solar heating, aligning real-time observations and MetService-NIWA model consensus with this precise threshold. The market's 100% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this stable forecast signal backed by official agency guidance. A late shift to northerly flow or unexpected clearing that permits brief insolation could nudge the peak marginally higher, though current atmospheric conditions and model runs show limited potential for such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,291วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds advecting polar maritime air across New Zealand have kept Wellington's daytime maximum locked near 10°C on August 16, well below the seasonal average of about 12°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers have further suppressed solar heating, aligning real-time observations and MetService-NIWA model consensus with this precise threshold. The market's 100% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this stable forecast signal backed by official agency guidance. A late shift to northerly flow or unexpected clearing that permits brief insolation could nudge the peak marginally higher, though current atmospheric conditions and model runs show limited potential for such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,291วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Strong southerly winds advecting polar maritime air across New Zealand have kept Wellington's daytime maximum locked near 10°C on August 16, well below the seasonal average of about 12°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers have further suppressed solar heating, aligning real-time observations and MetService-NIWA model consensus with this precise threshold. The market's 100% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects this stable forecast signal backed by official agency guidance. A late shift to northerly flow or unexpected clearing that permits brief insolation could nudge the peak marginally higher, though current atmospheric conditions and model runs show limited potential for such deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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