Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on July 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 7?
14°C 45%
13°C 38%
12°C 11.4%
15°C 6.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
11%
13°C
38%
14°C
45%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 38%
12°C 11.4%
15°C 6.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 7, 2026
8°C or below
$662 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$405 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$431 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,663 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$1,017 ปริมาณ
11%
13°C
$1,578 ปริมาณ
38%
14°C
$1,707 ปริมาณ
45%
15°C
$1,049 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$615 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$363 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$439 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,854วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,854วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService guidance shows a southerly change and associated cloud cover developing over Wellington by July 7, limiting daytime heating after 14°C on July 5 and 12°C on July 6. Model runs indicate maximum temperatures will hinge on the precise timing of the front’s arrival and the strength of northerly flow ahead of it, with official forecasts centering on 13°C. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA place July temperatures near or slightly below the 12–13°C climatological average, supporting tight market-implied odds between 13°C and 14°C. Minor shifts in wind direction or clearance timing could push the official maximum across that threshold, while persistent low cloud would favor the lower outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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