Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 21, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light northeasterly winds expected to limit peak insolation and surface heating. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C+ outcomes, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective development can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but persistent humidity and recent shower activity have moderated extremes relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 20 will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 21?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 21?
30°C 48%
31°C 47%
32°C or higher 47%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
48%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
47%
30°C 48%
31°C 47%
32°C or higher 47%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$90 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$95 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 21, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light northeasterly winds expected to limit peak insolation and surface heating. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C+ outcomes, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective development can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but persistent humidity and recent shower activity have moderated extremes relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 20 will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$375วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 21, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light northeasterly winds expected to limit peak insolation and surface heating. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C+ outcomes, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective development can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but persistent humidity and recent shower activity have moderated extremes relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 20 will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$375วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration converge on a maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Zhengzhou on August 21, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thundershowers, and light northeasterly winds expected to limit peak insolation and surface heating. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C+ outcomes, as modest variations in cloud timing or convective development can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but persistent humidity and recent shower activity have moderated extremes relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 20 will provide the final guidance ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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