Khamenei's death in February 2026 has left his official @khamenei_ir account largely inactive, with its bio now referencing the "martyred Leader." This structural shift drives trader consensus toward minimal output in the August 7-14 window, as the account has shown only sporadic or archival use in prior similar periods since the assassination. Ongoing Iran-U.S. tensions and regional diplomacy have not prompted fresh statements from the handle, and no scheduled addresses, holidays, or escalations align with the dates to boost volume. Historical patterns of low-frequency posting by the account further reinforce expectations that activity will stay below five posts, reflecting the absence of an active supreme leader issuing real-time guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 51%
5-9 27%
10-14 13%
20-24 11.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
<5
51%
5-9
27%
10-14
11%
15-19
11%
20-24
11%
25-29
11%
30-34
1%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 51%
5-9 27%
10-14 13%
20-24 11.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
<5
$1,127 ปริมาณ
51%
5-9
$133 ปริมาณ
27%
10-14
$25 ปริมาณ
11%
15-19
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
20-24
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
25-29
$20 ปริมาณ
11%
30-34
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
35-39
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
40-44
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
45-49
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
50-54
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
55-59
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
60+
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Khamenei's death in February 2026 has left his official @khamenei_ir account largely inactive, with its bio now referencing the "martyred Leader." This structural shift drives trader consensus toward minimal output in the August 7-14 window, as the account has shown only sporadic or archival use in prior similar periods since the assassination. Ongoing Iran-U.S. tensions and regional diplomacy have not prompted fresh statements from the handle, and no scheduled addresses, holidays, or escalations align with the dates to boost volume. Historical patterns of low-frequency posting by the account further reinforce expectations that activity will stay below five posts, reflecting the absence of an active supreme leader issuing real-time guidance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,395วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Khamenei's death in February 2026 has left his official @khamenei_ir account largely inactive, with its bio now referencing the "martyred Leader." This structural shift drives trader consensus toward minimal output in the August 7-14 window, as the account has shown only sporadic or archival use in prior similar periods since the assassination. Ongoing Iran-U.S. tensions and regional diplomacy have not prompted fresh statements from the handle, and no scheduled addresses, holidays, or escalations align with the dates to boost volume. Historical patterns of low-frequency posting by the account further reinforce expectations that activity will stay below five posts, reflecting the absence of an active supreme leader issuing real-time guidance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,395วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Khamenei's death in February 2026 has left his official @khamenei_ir account largely inactive, with its bio now referencing the "martyred Leader." This structural shift drives trader consensus toward minimal output in the August 7-14 window, as the account has shown only sporadic or archival use in prior similar periods since the assassination. Ongoing Iran-U.S. tensions and regional diplomacy have not prompted fresh statements from the handle, and no scheduled addresses, holidays, or escalations align with the dates to boost volume. Historical patterns of low-frequency posting by the account further reinforce expectations that activity will stay below five posts, reflecting the absence of an active supreme leader issuing real-time guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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