Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
28°C 42%
29°C 33%
27°C 16%
26°C 4.9%
ใหม่
$18,516 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,516 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
42%
29°C
33%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 33%
27°C 16%
26°C 4.9%
ใหม่
$18,516 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,516 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
22°C or below
$735 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$741 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,215 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$980 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$773 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$975 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$1,488 ปริมาณ
42%
29°C
$9,828 ปริมาณ
33%
30°C
$560 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$676 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$546 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,516วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,516วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย