Traders assign the highest implied probability (55.5%) to a 27°C minimum on July 19, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing typical July overnight lows of 26–27°C under the prevailing southwest monsoon. High humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers suppress radiative cooling, anchoring minimums near this range rather than allowing sharper drops. The closely matched probabilities around 22°C or below (48.0%) and 32°C or higher (46.5%) reflect model uncertainty in cloud timing, wind patterns, and any localized rain that could either enhance or limit overnight cooling over the next 48 hours. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with the precise daily minimum hinging on evolving short-range guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 19?
22°C or below 94%
27°C 41%
28°C 37%
26°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 19, 2026
22°C or below
94%
23°C
21%
24°C
14%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
55%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 94%
27°C 41%
28°C 37%
26°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 19, 2026
22°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
94%
23°C
$15 ปริมาณ
21%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C
$15 ปริมาณ
55%
28°C
$43 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$15 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probability (55.5%) to a 27°C minimum on July 19, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing typical July overnight lows of 26–27°C under the prevailing southwest monsoon. High humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers suppress radiative cooling, anchoring minimums near this range rather than allowing sharper drops. The closely matched probabilities around 22°C or below (48.0%) and 32°C or higher (46.5%) reflect model uncertainty in cloud timing, wind patterns, and any localized rain that could either enhance or limit overnight cooling over the next 48 hours. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with the precise daily minimum hinging on evolving short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probability (55.5%) to a 27°C minimum on July 19, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing typical July overnight lows of 26–27°C under the prevailing southwest monsoon. High humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers suppress radiative cooling, anchoring minimums near this range rather than allowing sharper drops. The closely matched probabilities around 22°C or below (48.0%) and 32°C or higher (46.5%) reflect model uncertainty in cloud timing, wind patterns, and any localized rain that could either enhance or limit overnight cooling over the next 48 hours. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with the precise daily minimum hinging on evolving short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (55.5%) to a 27°C minimum on July 19, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory climatology showing typical July overnight lows of 26–27°C under the prevailing southwest monsoon. High humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers suppress radiative cooling, anchoring minimums near this range rather than allowing sharper drops. The closely matched probabilities around 22°C or below (48.0%) and 32°C or higher (46.5%) reflect model uncertainty in cloud timing, wind patterns, and any localized rain that could either enhance or limit overnight cooling over the next 48 hours. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with the precise daily minimum hinging on evolving short-range guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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