Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on July 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 16?
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 37%
96-97°F 18%
90-91°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
18%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 37%
96-97°F 18%
90-91°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
87°F or below
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$15 ปริมาณ
8%
90-91°F
$228 ปริมาณ
16%
92-93°F
$91 ปริมาณ
37%
94-95°F
$24 ปริมาณ
28%
96-97°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
100-101°F
$16 ปริมาณ
2%
102-103°F
$283 ปริมาณ
1%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
106°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$685วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$685วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southwesterly flow supporting a peak temperature near 93–94°F in Central Park on July 16, placing the closely matched 92–93°F and 94–95°F brackets at the top of trader probabilities. Coastal sea-breeze timing and afternoon marine-layer depth introduce the main uncertainty, potentially trimming 2–4°F from inland readings if onshore flow strengthens earlier than expected. Recent post-heat-wave subsidence has kept 850 hPa temperatures elevated while limiting widespread convection, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading outcomes and lower odds on 96°F-plus or sub-90°F scenarios. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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