Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 16?
25°C 40%
26°C 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
22%
25°C
40%
26°C
24%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 40%
26°C 24%
24°C 22%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
$524 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$271 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$30 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$38 ปริมาณ
9%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$18 ปริมาณ
40%
26°C
$35 ปริมาณ
24%
27°C
$10 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$30 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C or higher
$97 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,083วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,083วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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