A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 26?
Lowest temperature in London on June 26?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$18,136 ปริมาณ
$18,136 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$18,136 ปริมาณ
$18,136 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
18°C or below
$901 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$891 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,233 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,418 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,057 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$3,872 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,187 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$640 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$740 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$518 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$679 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,136วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,136วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
A strong high-pressure system and southerly airflow have driven an exceptional heatwave across southern England, producing warm, humid nights that limit radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Official Met Office guidance for 26 June projects a nighttime low near 21°C in London, consistent with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 34.5% and clustered probabilities around 20–23°C. Key variables include the exact timing of any weakening in the ridge, cloud-cover evolution that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. With resolution only 48 hours away and ensemble guidance still showing modest variability, traders are pricing in a narrow but uncertain range centered on these unusually high June minima rather than typical climatological values near 12–14°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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