**Warmer-than-average conditions and typical early-August atmospheric patterns position mid-70s Fahrenheit as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 2, 2026.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows generally between 68–73 °F for the month, with early-August forecasts clustering near 70–75 °F, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (74–75 °F at 42.5 %, 72–73 °F at 23.5 %, 76–77 °F at 22.5 %). Elevated dew points associated with the seasonal outlook reduce the potential for strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear, dry nights keeps minima elevated relative to historical averages near 68 °F. Model consensus from NOAA sources shows limited spread for this 24–48-hour window, supporting the tight clustering around 72–77 °F. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast guidance and the low probability of an unusually cool night given the broader warmer-than-average signal for August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 2?
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
63°F or below
$57 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$60 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$72 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$54 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$36 ปริมาณ
6%
72-73°F
$83 ปริมาณ
24%
74-75°F
$457 ปริมาณ
43%
76-77°F
$55 ปริมาณ
22%
78-79°F
$56 ปริมาณ
13%
80-81°F
$57 ปริมาณ
1%
82°F or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warmer-than-average conditions and typical early-August atmospheric patterns position mid-70s Fahrenheit as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 2, 2026.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows generally between 68–73 °F for the month, with early-August forecasts clustering near 70–75 °F, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (74–75 °F at 42.5 %, 72–73 °F at 23.5 %, 76–77 °F at 22.5 %).
Elevated dew points associated with the seasonal outlook reduce the potential for strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear, dry nights keeps minima elevated relative to historical averages near 68 °F. Model consensus from NOAA sources shows limited spread for this 24–48-hour window, supporting the tight clustering around 72–77 °F. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast guidance and the low probability of an unusually cool night given the broader warmer-than-average signal for August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,012วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warmer-than-average conditions and typical early-August atmospheric patterns position mid-70s Fahrenheit as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 2, 2026.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows generally between 68–73 °F for the month, with early-August forecasts clustering near 70–75 °F, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (74–75 °F at 42.5 %, 72–73 °F at 23.5 %, 76–77 °F at 22.5 %).
Elevated dew points associated with the seasonal outlook reduce the potential for strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear, dry nights keeps minima elevated relative to historical averages near 68 °F. Model consensus from NOAA sources shows limited spread for this 24–48-hour window, supporting the tight clustering around 72–77 °F. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast guidance and the low probability of an unusually cool night given the broader warmer-than-average signal for August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,012วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Warmer-than-average conditions and typical early-August atmospheric patterns position mid-70s Fahrenheit as the most likely minimum temperature range for New York City on August 2, 2026.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows generally between 68–73 °F for the month, with early-August forecasts clustering near 70–75 °F, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes (74–75 °F at 42.5 %, 72–73 °F at 23.5 %, 76–77 °F at 22.5 %). Elevated dew points associated with the seasonal outlook reduce the potential for strong radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while the absence of significant cold-air advection or clear, dry nights keeps minima elevated relative to historical averages near 68 °F. Model consensus from NOAA sources shows limited spread for this 24–48-hour window, supporting the tight clustering around 72–77 °F. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast guidance and the low probability of an unusually cool night given the broader warmer-than-average signal for August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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