Persistent warm, humid air across the Northeast, with dew points near 70°F and heat indices above 100°F, continues to limit overnight radiational cooling and support minimum temperatures in the mid- to upper-70s for New York City on August 8. National Weather Service guidance and short-range model consensus show partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwest flow and possible scattered showers or thunderstorms, conditions that further suppress temperature drops below seasonal norms of roughly 68–70°F. Recent model runs have trended slightly warmer overnight, tightening the distribution around the 74–79°F bins that together capture over 80% of market-implied probability. Key uncertainties remain tied to the precise timing and coverage of any clearing or convective activity, which could allow modest additional cooling or maintain the elevated floor depending on the final forecast update.