High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 28?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 28?
20°C 97.2%
19°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$19,996 ปริมาณ
$19,996 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 97.2%
19°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$19,996 ปริมาณ
$19,996 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
18°C or below
$2,539 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$1,301 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$1,569 ปริมาณ
97%
21°C
$5,083 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$2,301 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,103 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,562 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$643 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$447 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,997 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,996วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,996วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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