Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 30?
14°C or below 43%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
17°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
14°C or below
43%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
4%
14°C or below 43%
16°C 20%
15°C 19%
17°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
14°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
43%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$32 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$32 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$32 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$32 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent relief from an intense early heatwave across northern France, with Paris highs near 40°C midweek easing to around 35°C by June 28 amid Météo-France-noted thunderstorms, has shifted model guidance toward cooler overnight conditions by June 30. Ensemble forecasts emphasize increased cloud cover, potential showers, and reduced daytime heating that limit radiative warming, supporting minimum temperatures at or below 14°C as the dominant trader consensus. Historical late-June Paris lows average near 12–15°C, but the post-heatwave transition amplifies short-term variability in boundary-layer cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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