Recent procedural changes, including the elimination of same-day enrolment and tighter overseas voting eligibility, have raised concerns about participation among younger voters and expatriates, where enrolment rates remain below historical averages. At the same time, overall enrolment stands near 91 percent, advance voting begins later this month, and the unusually close contest between the National-led and Labour-led blocs is expected to heighten voter motivation. These offsetting forces—structural barriers versus heightened campaign intensity—keep trader consensus clustered on the 76–80 percent turnout brackets, with limited scope for sharp movement absent major last-minute enrolment surges or unexpected apathy.