Recent polling shows the Green Party reaching record highs around 16% amid gains for several minor parties, while New Zealand First maintains support near 9-13% and ACT rises toward 11% in the weeks before the November 7 election. National and Labour remain locked near the top at roughly 28% each, leaving the contest for third place tightly contested between the Greens and New Zealand First. Trader consensus reflects this closeness, with uncertainty over final voter shifts, undecided respondents near 13%, and how Opportunity Party results above the 5% threshold might influence seat allocations under MMP rules. Late-campaign developments in minor-party preferences could still alter the ordering.