Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour and National locked in a tight contest for first and second on party vote, typically in the low 30s percent, with the National-ACT-NZ First coalition often projected to retain a narrow parliamentary majority. This leaves New Zealand First and the Green Party competing closely for third place, with their support hovering in the 11-12 percent range across multiple surveys including the June Taxpayers’ Union-Curia and May Roy Morgan releases. The May 2026 budget and subsequent polling have produced modest shifts without decisive momentum for either minor party, while ACT trails further back and smaller parties like Te Pāti Māori remain marginal. Traders appear to view New Zealand First’s established base and recent stability as giving it the edge for third over the Greens.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 64%
Green Party 36%
Labour Party 7.9%
National Party 6.7%

New Zealand First Party
64%

Green Party
36%

Labour Party
18%

National Party
7%

ACT New Zealand
6%

Te Pāti Māori
1%
New Zealand First Party 64%
Green Party 36%
Labour Party 7.9%
National Party 6.7%

New Zealand First Party
64%

Green Party
36%

Labour Party
18%

National Party
7%

ACT New Zealand
6%

Te Pāti Māori
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour and National locked in a tight contest for first and second on party vote, typically in the low 30s percent, with the National-ACT-NZ First coalition often projected to retain a narrow parliamentary majority. This leaves New Zealand First and the Green Party competing closely for third place, with their support hovering in the 11-12 percent range across multiple surveys including the June Taxpayers’ Union-Curia and May Roy Morgan releases. The May 2026 budget and subsequent polling have produced modest shifts without decisive momentum for either minor party, while ACT trails further back and smaller parties like Te Pāti Māori remain marginal. Traders appear to view New Zealand First’s established base and recent stability as giving it the edge for third over the Greens.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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