Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, leaving the Greens and New Zealand First in close contention for third under the mixed-member proportional system. Current surveys from firms such as Roy Morgan, Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, and Reid Research show the Greens holding steady near 10 percent while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8.5 and 11.5 percent, with the former benefiting from consistent opposition support and the latter experiencing volatility tied to coalition dynamics. ACT trails further back, and minor parties including Opportunity remain below thresholds that would alter the top rankings. Traders appear to view the Greens’ steadier positioning and limited downside risk as giving them a modest edge for third place over New Zealand First. No major late-breaking events have shifted these relative standings in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
Green Party 54%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 7, 2026
Green Party
54%
New Zealand First Party
40%
ACT New Zealand
4%
National Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
Green Party 54%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 7, 2026
Green Party
$2,659 ปริมาณ
54%
New Zealand First Party
$2,958 ปริมาณ
40%
ACT New Zealand
$641 ปริมาณ
4%
National Party
$355 ปริมาณ
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$714 ปริมาณ
<1%
Labour Party
$1,005 ปริมาณ
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, leaving the Greens and New Zealand First in close contention for third under the mixed-member proportional system. Current surveys from firms such as Roy Morgan, Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, and Reid Research show the Greens holding steady near 10 percent while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8.5 and 11.5 percent, with the former benefiting from consistent opposition support and the latter experiencing volatility tied to coalition dynamics. ACT trails further back, and minor parties including Opportunity remain below thresholds that would alter the top rankings. Traders appear to view the Greens’ steadier positioning and limited downside risk as giving them a modest edge for third place over New Zealand First. No major late-breaking events have shifted these relative standings in the past month.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,332วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, leaving the Greens and New Zealand First in close contention for third under the mixed-member proportional system. Current surveys from firms such as Roy Morgan, Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, and Reid Research show the Greens holding steady near 10 percent while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8.5 and 11.5 percent, with the former benefiting from consistent opposition support and the latter experiencing volatility tied to coalition dynamics. ACT trails further back, and minor parties including Opportunity remain below thresholds that would alter the top rankings. Traders appear to view the Greens’ steadier positioning and limited downside risk as giving them a modest edge for third place over New Zealand First. No major late-breaking events have shifted these relative standings in the past month.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,332วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place National and Labour as the clear frontrunners in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, leaving the Greens and New Zealand First in close contention for third under the mixed-member proportional system. Current surveys from firms such as Roy Morgan, Taxpayers’ Union–Curia, and Reid Research show the Greens holding steady near 10 percent while New Zealand First fluctuates between 8.5 and 11.5 percent, with the former benefiting from consistent opposition support and the latter experiencing volatility tied to coalition dynamics. ACT trails further back, and minor parties including Opportunity remain below thresholds that would alter the top rankings. Traders appear to view the Greens’ steadier positioning and limited downside risk as giving them a modest edge for third place over New Zealand First. No major late-breaking events have shifted these relative standings in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
52%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
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